Local residents in the Kherson region of Ukraine continue to struggle with rising floodwaters one day after a critical hydroelectric dam was breached by as-yet-unknown causes.
“Everything is submerged in water: all the furniture, the fridge, food ... everything is floating,” one 53-year-old resident of Kherson city, the Ukrainian-held regional capital, told Reuters.
The Nova Kakhovka dam, which spans the Dnipro River, was breached on June 6, causing widespread flooding and prompting fears of a looming humanitarian and environmental catastrophe.
Martin Griffiths, the U.N. undersecretary-general for humanitarian affairs, warned that the breach will have “grave and far-reaching consequences for thousands of people ... on both sides of the [Russia–Ukraine] frontline.”
Speaking at the U.N. Security Council on June 6, Griffiths noted that the magnitude of the catastrophe would “only become fully realized in the coming days.”
Water from the Soviet-era dam is used to irrigate agricultural land in Kherson and the nearby Black Sea region of Crimea. It’s also used to cool the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant, located in the adjacent region of the same name.
Evacuations Underway
In November 2022, Russian forces withdrew from all territory in Kherson west of the Dnipro. Since then, the river has separated the warring sides, who continue to engage in frequent artillery duels.Despite its withdrawal seven months ago, Russian forces have maintained control of the dam.
On the Ukrainian-held side of the river, about 2,000 people have been evacuated from the rising water. According to Kyiv, 42,000 residents face the risk of flooding, while hundreds of thousands could be left without drinking water.
Evacuations also are underway on the Russian-held side of the Dnipro, where Moscow-appointed officials have declared a state of emergency.
According to Russia’s TASS news agency, 80 villages—all located in lowlands close to the dam—are at risk of inundation.
As residents are being evacuated, both sides accused the other of continued artillery shelling.
Dueling Narratives
Kyiv has accused Russian forces in Kherson of intentionally blowing up the dam. Moscow, for its part, says the dam was most likely targeted by a Ukrainian rocket.However, neither side has so far produced any evidence of its assertions.
Speaking at the U.N. Security Council, Sergiy Kyslytsya, Ukraine’s U.N. envoy, claimed that it was “physically impossible to blow it [the dam] up from the outside by shelling.”
“It was mined by the Russian occupiers, and they blew it up,” he said.
U.S. officials say they’re still collecting evidence to determine what—or who—was behind the breach.
Based on official statements, however, most appear to be leaning toward Russian culpability.
“Why would Ukraine do this to its own territory and people? Flood its land, force tens of thousands of people to leave their homes. It doesn’t make sense,” U.S. Deputy Ambassador to the U.N. Robert Wood told reporters.
At a June 6 press briefing, U.S. State Department spokesman Vedant Patel said the department is “working to determine what happened.”
“But the important thing is that Russia started this war, and it was Russia that occupied this area of Ukraine, and it was Russia that was in control of this dam,” Patel said.
Speaking on Twitter, Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba chastised Western media outlets for failing to support the Ukrainian narrative.
“Infuriating to see some media report ‘Kyiv and Moscow accusing each other’ of ruining the Kakhovka dam,” he wrote.
Russian Riposte
At a June 7 press briefing, Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova described Western reactions as “100 percent predictable.”Calling for an international probe into the dam breach, she lamented the “endless desire to blame Russia for everything that happens, regardless of whether it actually happened.”
Vassily Nebenzia, Russia’s envoy to the U.N., explicitly blamed Kyiv for the breach, which he said was intended to punish Crimea for acceding to Russia in 2014.
Speaking before the U.N. Security Council, he claimed that the “terrorist act” was also meant to divert attention from recent Ukrainian battlefield losses.
Nebenzia went on to cite a Washington Post article from late last year, which appeared to suggest that Ukrainian forces had previously targeted the dam with U.S.-supplied rockets.
Published on Dec. 29, 2022, the article cited Andriy Kovalchuk, a Ukrainian military commander, who told the newspaper that Ukrainian forces had conducted a test strike with a HIMARS launcher on one of the dam’s floodgates, making three holes in the metal.
“The test was a success, Kovalchuk said, but the step remained a last resort,” the article reads.
The State Department’s Patel said, “I don’t have anything to offer on that,” when asked by reporters about the Washington Post article.