When I asked Nigel Farage, the real motivating force behind Brexit and close ally of Donald Trump, what he thought of the outcome, he told me: “The result was really bad for Johnson and he will now lead a party of increasing indiscipline and chaos. The Conservative brand is tarnished and they are heading for electoral disaster.”
But the man who allowed his staff to party on—even joining them on occasion—while enforcing the Chinese Communist Party-inspired killer lockdowns on the British people gets to stay in power—for now at least.
The vote was called after the prime minister was found guilty of breaking his own rushed-through legislation on social gatherings in what became known as “Partygate.”
“You can meet one person outside of your household in an outdoor public place provided that you stay two meters apart,” he warned.
Some of those backbenchers would have voted against him to appease their constituents’ anger— but also as a warning shot, safe in the knowledge that he was always going to win, as 95 MPs with government positions are required to vote for the prime minister or resign.
That’s right. The prime minister doesn’t have to resign for breaking the law, but the MPs do if they don’t support him when he gets caught.
Their aim may have been to rein him in rather than force him out.
The prime minister seemed to have got the message this time, as his very first speech to his cabinet on winning the vote was to “vow to return to Conservative policies.”
At heart, Johnson is much more aligned with U.S. President Joe Biden than Trump, and the rest of the Conservative Party aren’t too far behind him either. To understand where this Conservative government stands, imagine a Biden White House and a RINO [Republican in Name Only] Congress, with hardly a pro-Trumper in sight.
The greatest asset Johnson has is that the alternatives to him are probably worse. To his credit, he did bring the UK out of lockdown faster than other countries, although he should never have followed China’s example in the first place.
One name tipped to replace him is Jeremy Hunt, a former foreign and health secretary who is currently without a government job after losing the Conservative Party leadership race in 2019 following May’s resignation.
Just before the no-confidence vote, one Conservative MP, Nadine Dorries, revealed to Parliament that while serving as health minister during the pandemic, Hunt had proposed adopting more strict China-style measures.
The next election doesn’t have to be held until May 2, 2024. So that’s two years to get things turned around and they know the economy is key to that. However, it is difficult to deal with an energy crisis when they are signed up to reducing fossil fuel reliance.
Meanwhile, gasoline prices are soaring in the UK and on June 8 saw the biggest daily jump in 17 years. The average price for a gallon of fuel is now $8.58 at the pumps, compared to United States averages of about $5.
Energy prices are also going up and although the war in Ukraine is being blamed for most things, the disastrous deal the UK struck with the French energy group EDF in 2013 to build a new generation of low-carbon nuclear power plants means electricity prices won’t be coming down anytime soon—war or no war.
But above Johnson’s personal fate, the overriding fear that all Conservatives have is that they know their large majority is entirely due to Brexit.
Many people voted for them in 2019 because that was the only realistic way of getting the UK out of the EU, and they won’t have that leverage next time around.
Farage was even willing to sacrifice his own Brexit Party’s ambitions and stood his candidates down at the last election to enable the Conservatives to win enough seats to get Brexit through.
But that which Nigel giveth…