U.S. gasoline prices have risen to their highest level in seven years even as demand fell for a fourth straight week, with supply disruptions from Hurricane Ida putting upward pressure on prices and keeping seasonal factors from delivering relief at the pump to drivers frustrated by historically high fuel costs.
Historically, retail gasoline prices have tended to peak in late summer, when people drive more often, with demand softening in the fall.
“Weekly gasoline demand was down 1.6 percent from the prior week and was 3.5 percent below the four-week average,” De Haan wrote.
“The expected drop in retail gasoline prices reflects our forecast that gasoline margins will decline from currently elevated levels, both as a result of rising refinery runs as operations return in the first half of September following Hurricane Ida and because of typical seasonality,” the agency wrote in the outlook.
Meanwhile, crude oil prices rose nearly 1 percent on Sept. 13, supported by concerns over shut output in the United States due to damage from the hurricane.
“Oil prices may not have much room to rise in the near term, but at the same time are not expected to crash soon,” Stephen Brennock of broker PVM told Reuters.
The EIA expects WTI crude oil prices to average $62.37 per barrel in 2022, down from $65.69 in 2021, while Brent crude prices are forecast to fall to an average of $66.04 per barrel next year from $68.61 this year.