“Since there’s a low number of cases overall in the clinical trial—most kids are not getting symptomatic COVID—one case in one direction or another can tip the perception of the vaccine’s overall effectiveness,” Dr. Scott Gottlieb, the former FDA commissioner who now sits on Pfizer’s board, said on CNBC’s “Squawk Box.”
FDA officials analyzed data from when the trial gave children 6 months of age to 4 years old a two-dose primary regimen and determined the data was not enough for emergency use authorization.
The trial includes approximately 8,300 children 12 or younger.
“The data that we saw made us realize that we needed to see data from a third dose, as in the ongoing trial, in order to make it the term determination that we could proceed with doing an authorization,” Dr. Peter Marks, the director of the FDA’s Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research, told reporters on a call.
Before the Feb. 11 announcement of a delay, a meeting of the agency’s vaccine advisory panel was scheduled for Feb. 15. If the data were strong enough, authorization could have come within hours of the meeting.
Instead, regulators are waiting for data from the expanded trial, which is testing a three-dose primary series. That data is not expected until April, according to Pfizer and its partner, BioNTech.
It will be easier to make a decision when the trial isn’t ongoing, Gottlieb said.
“The FDA wanted to take the time for this data set to effectively settle down. That point’s probably going to be after they’ve administered the third dose and have the data from that third dose, that they’re going to have a complete dataset that isn’t continuing to evolve, that the Omicron wave will have passed, that children will have received that dose, and gotten maximal efficacy. At that point you’ll be able to get more of a fixed perception of the vaccine’s overall effectiveness,” he said.
Pfizer’s COVID-19 vaccine is available to all Americans 5 or older, and is the only one available to youth 17 and younger.