A hypothetical example given in the guideline is an 86-year-old woman who died after displaying symptoms of a high fever, severe cough, and difficulty breathing for five days. The woman, who suffered a stroke three years ago that left her nonambulatory, had the symptoms “after being exposed to an ill family member who was subsequently diagnosed with COVID-19.”
Although testing was not conducted to verify the disease, the CDC says “probable COVID-19” may be listed as the underlying cause of death, “given the patient’s symptoms and exposure to an infected individual.”
Whereas in other countries, Birx said, “if you had a pre-existing condition, and let’s say the virus caused you to go to the ICU [intensive care unit] and then have a heart or kidney problem. Some countries are recording that as a heart issue or a kidney issue and not a COVID-19 death.”
Those concerned with COVID-19 deaths being unduly inflated argue that differentiation between a person dying of the disease or with the disease should be a factor in determining the actual death rate of the CCP virus.
“In the normal course, autopsies would then determine whether the person died of the effects of the COVID virus, whether the person had a brain tumor or brain hemorrhage for example that might be unrelated to it and what the relative significance of both the infection and the pre-existing disease is,” Baden said.
Baden says that there may be a low number of autopsies being conducted due to the risk of getting infected.
“Then you will include in those numbers some people who did have a pre-existing condition that would have caused death anyway, but that’s probably a small number,” Baden said.
Washington state had the first confirmed COVID-19 death in the United States back in February and an early community spread of the virus at the senior living center in King County. The state has 11,152 cases of the CCP virus and 583 deaths attributed to the disease as of April 16.
Probable Deaths Now Included in Death Toll
New York City public health officials revised its COVID-19 death toll (pdf) on April 14 by including more than 3,700 probable cases that have not been tested, raising the death toll from 6,589 to 10,367. The city said the deaths were backdated to March 11, when the first confirmed COVID-19 death was reported.“We wanted to make sure that every New Yorker is counted that has been taken from this vicious virus,” said New York City Health Commissioner Dr. Oxiris Barbot.
New York City’s decision to include unconfirmed virus patients in the death toll is a step away from how U.S. health officials had generally attributed COVID-19 deaths, which was only when patients tested positive for the disease.
With its CCP virus death toll revision, New York City has paved the way for other states, as Wyoming and Ohio began including probable COVID-19 deaths and cases in its update on April 16. Wyoming reported two confirmed COVID-19 deaths, 287 cases that have been laboratory-confirmed, and 105 probable cases. Ohio said it had 16 probable deaths and 175 probable cases.
Hospital Incentives
Jensen says besides pushing back on the CDC guideline, he has also been vocal about the financial motives of hospitals to treat COVID-19 patients.“If I admit a patient, a medicare patient, to the hospital and just diagnose pneumonia, the diagnosis-related group payment, the lump sum payment the hospital will receive for that patient, will be about $4,500,” Jensen said. “But if I put pneumonia COVID-19, it triples, it goes to $13,000.”
With regard to patients being “put on a ventilator, then the hospital gets $39,000.”
Jensen says when money is involved, “I don’t think there’s any question that human nature will try to massage the numbers, statistics, to say what you want them to say.”
Jensen, who is also an associate professor at the University of Minnesota Medical School, said that someone had called on Twitter for his removal from the school for his speaking out. But the overall support he has received from other doctors has, “been pretty heartwarming. I’ve had physicians call from out of state, all over the country, reaching out and saying thank you for bringing the light of day to this process.”
“I mean, I take care of a lot of patients for decades and decades, and sometimes the last time I see their chart is when I’m completing their death certificate,” Jensen said. “And to think that I’m potentially being influenced by someone who has an underlying agenda, but I never meet that person, they just send me a link for a seven-page document, that’s concerning. Now I’m not saying that’s intentional, but it’s concerning. Americans need to know that kind of stuff goes on.”