The Trudeau government’s blanket ban of 1,500 types of “assault-style” firearms in response to the mass shooting in Nova Scotia in 2020 was arbitrary and not well received in Alberta. The clock began ticking with a two-year amnesty period for firearm owners, and time has run out. The government wants those firearms, and Public Safety Minister Marco Mendicino has requested that the Alberta government support efforts to locate and seize the remaining weapons. Alberta’s Justice Minister Tyler Shandro pretty much told Mendicino that wasn’t going to happen, and the standoff begins.
Shandro has sent instructions to the RCMP to dismiss the direct orders from the federal government to enforce the firearms ban. This will put to the test who really oversees provincial policing. While the RCMP is a federal force, they operate under a lease with the provincial government. Alberta taxpayers pay the bill for the RCMP, and Shandro feels Article 23 of the Provincial Police Service Agreement gives him the authority to instruct the RCMP not to participate in the firearms ban and buyback program.
This puts the federal government in a tough spot.
If the Trudeau Liberals accede to Alberta’s demands, they may as well toss their proposed gun ban into the trash. The law would be unenforceable in any province. Not only that, but they would lose face in a jurisdictional battle.
If the federal government somehow compels the RCMP to start enforcing the ban within Alberta, the provincial government will launch court challenges and move swiftly to end the contract with the force and form a provincial police force. Alberta has been studying the formation of a provincial force for some time now.
Alberta will have a new premier in early October when the United Conservative Party leadership race to replace Jason Kenney ends. The new premier will be facing a general election in the spring of 2023 and polls indicate it will be a tight one. Getting into a fight with Ottawa is always a sure way for a premier to bolster support within Alberta, and the scrap over the firearms ban will be a political boon for the UCP.
It’s hard to see how this conflict will be resolved, and the skirmish could ignite a conflagration of secessionism if Ottawa insists on using a federal force in defiance of the will of the Alberta government. One of the prime factors in Premier Kenney’s ouster was a perception among UCP members that he was too weak in standing up to Ottawa. Whoever replaces Kenney will know all too well that capitulation to the government on the firearms ban isn’t an option.
This battle is just beginning, and it could impact unity across the entire nation.