The Chinese regime is not as strong as it’s portrayed to the outside world, and many internal problems plaguing the regime will lead to its demise, says a former British diplomat and China expert.
“They can see better than most people can see, that this regime is outwardly strong but inwardly weak. And that it’s in a state of political decay,” Garside said.
“And that their best hope for preserving their own wealth and power, as well as the best hope for China, is to lead a coup d’etat to remove Xi Jinping and to launch China into a democratic transition.”
These problems are not caused by “external forces” or “anti-China forces,” which the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) often blames for China’s woes. Instead, the problems have been created by the communist regime’s own political system, a totalitarian dictatorship, Garside said.
“They [the Chinese regime] are weak inwardly because there is a moral crisis in China. There is a system of corruption—the system is corrupt from top to bottom, from left to right. And I could go on, but the single greatest area of weakness is, curiously enough, the economy,” Garside said.
In June 1989, the Chinese regime ordered its troops to open fire on student protesters and unarmed civilians in Tiananmen Square. The CCP denies having initiated a violent crackdown, and any discussion about the protest movement is considered taboo in China.
“There certainly is moral decay and a moral vacuum; no trust, no truth,” Garside said.
Beijing’s privatization effort didn’t lead to a market economy, but a command economy that has paved the way for rampant corruption in China.
“There’s an absence of clarity of ownership in China today on the huge state-owned companies: who controls them, who really owns them, even the private ones, who really owns and controls them. This is all very opaque, and where there is opacity in economic and financial affairs, then you’ll get corruption,” Garside said. “And that allowed power holders at every level [in China] to become rich and powerful.”
Underscoring all of China’s problems was its economy, which is not as strong as the Chinese regime has touted, according to Garside.
“Since 2008, they [the Chinese regime] have relied upon pumping billions of credit into the system in order to maintain an artificially high growth rate. And this flood of money has led to a great deal of distortion, false economic activity, un-economic activity, and fragility within the financial system,” he said.
Rather than sitting on the side and wait for political changes in China, the United States and its allies should be proactive such as helping to bring down the Chinese regime’s Great Firewall, which blocks access to many foreign websites and social media sites, Garside said.
“The communist regime is vulnerable. But I do not believe that the totalitarian regime will be destroyed solely by dynamics within China. I think it’s absolutely essential that the U.S. and its allies go onto the offensive,” he said.
Because China and the United States are deeply connected, particularly on economic and social fronts, the United States can’t just sit idly in the face of growing Chinese threats. “If we don’t counterattack against this ambitious and dangerous regime, we are going to lose our freedom,” Garside said.