The Chinese regime likely gave the green light to allow Chinese firms to provide “dual-use” support to Russia for its military aggression in Ukraine, according to Secretary of State Antony Blinken.
In China, the Chinese Communist Party has a tight leash over both Chinese private companies and state enterprises, requiring companies to establish Party units or Party branches at their workplaces. In other words, any support or goods that Chinese companies might send to Russia is unlikely to have evaded CCP scrutiny.
So far, China has not sent “lethal military support” to Russia, Blinken added, but the communist regime might change its stance, in violation of western sanctions.
“We haven’t seen to date systematic sanctions evasion,” Blinken added. “But we also have picked up information over the last couple of months that strongly indicates that China is now considering doing that.”
Blinken expressed hope that China would get the message that supporting Russia militarily would hurt its international reputation.
“I’m hopeful, but in a very clear-eyed way, that China will get that message, because it’s not only coming from us, it’s coming from many other countries who do not want to see China aiding and abetting in a material way Russia’s war effort in Ukraine,” Blinken said.
“And so to the extent China is trying to engage in a charm offensive these days, to re-engage with other countries as it comes out of COVID, I don’t think it wants to be in the business of further alienating them by providing lethal support to Russia,” Blinken added. “The jury’s out. We’re watching it very, very carefully. We’ll see how they react.”
Taiwan
Blinken said the way many countries have come together and the sanctions they have imposed on Russia over the Ukraine war, should give China something to think about if it decides to attack Taiwan.“So I think that that’s something that China has to factor into its thinking about the future. I think it has to factor into its thinking the huge reputational costs that Russia has incurred,” Blinken said.
Taiwan is a de-facto country with its own democratically-elected government, military, and currency. However, the Chinese regime views the island as part of its territory that must be united with the mainland, by force if necessary.
Blinken said what happens across the Taiwan Strait, a narrow body of water separating China from Taiwan, is “a matter of concern to quite literally the entire world.”
“Fifty percent of the commercial container traffic goes through that strait every day. A big majority of the semiconductors that the world needs for everything from our smartphones, our dishwashers, to our automobiles are produced on Taiwan,” Blinken explained.
He added, “If there were a crisis in Taiwan as a result of China’s aggression in some fashion, that would have I think disastrous consequences for the world economy and for countries around the world.”
“China’s vision for a world order is fundamentally different from ours. Ours is based on the ideal of having a liberal world order; China’s is an illiberal one,” Blinken said. “They need an order, they want an order, but it’s profoundly illiberal, not liberal.”