Opinion: Why Governor Newsom May Skip 2024 Presidential Bid for 2028 | John Seiler

John Seiler, a political analyst and writer for the Epoch Times, delves into the reasons Governor Gavin Newsom of California might be setting his sights on a 2028 presidential bid rather than 2024, amidst fluctuating political and economic landscapes.

Seiler notes that while there was buzz last year about Newsom being tapped, several factors have diminished that possibility. Biden’s health has held up so far in his campaign. Additionally, Newsom faced criticism over an unproductive state visit to China in 2023 where he promoted expensive electric vehicles without addressing human rights issues.

The governor has also struggled with California’s budget deficit, which some estimate could reach $55 billion. With the state already facing high taxes and costs of living, further tax increases could prove politically damaging for Newsom.

Looking ahead to the budget negotiations this summer, Seiler suggests Newsom may have to make concessions to the Democratic legislature that controls the process. This could undermine his credibility on fiscal matters as he eyes higher office.

Overall, while a Biden health issue prior to the 2024 election could still open the door for Newsom, the analyst believes it is best for the governor’s political future to wait until 2028 to consider running for president. However, Seiler notes that if Donald Trump wins reelection, California’s economy may improve due to federal tax cuts, which could boost Newsom’s standing regardless of who enacts such policies.

*Views expressed in this video/article are opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of California Insider.