US Job Openings Plunge in December Signaling Further Cooling of Labor Market

Business surveys point to stronger hiring intentions, but they haven’t showed up in hard data yet,' says economist Bill Adams.
US Job Openings Plunge in December Signaling Further Cooling of Labor Market
People wait in line for a job fair to open in Sunrise, Fla., on June 26, 2024. Joe Raedle/Getty Images
Andrew Moran
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Job openings declined sharply in December 2024 and fell short of market expectations, signaling further cooling in the labor market.

According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary (JOLTS) report, the number of job vacancies declined by 556,000 to 7.6 million last month, the lowest since September 2024.

Economists had expected a reading of 8 million.

Overall, the number of employment opportunities fell by 1.3 million in 2024.

The December drop was concentrated in professional and business services (225,000), health care and social assistance (180,000), and finance and insurance (136,000).

There are now 1.1 jobs open for every job-seeking unemployed person.

More Americans submitted their resignation letters to finish the year. The number of job quits rose slightly, to 3.197 million from an upwardly revised 3.13 million in November 2024. However, it fell by 242,000 throughout 2024.

The quits rate—a measure of quits as a percentage of employment—was flat at 2 percent.

Economists monitor the quit rate, as it can indicate workers’ confidence in finding a new job and in the broader economy.

While layoffs have not been enormous, it is becoming harder for out-of-work individuals to find work.

The number of hires was flat at 5.5 million, though it was down by 325,000 over the year. Layoffs, meanwhile, were muted in December, sitting at 1.8 million.

“Business surveys point to stronger hiring intentions, but they haven’t showed up in hard data yet,” Bill Adams, chief economist for Comerica Bank, said in a note emailed to The Epoch Times.

Indeed, recent reports have revealed companies plan to boost their hiring efforts.

According to Robert Half’s State of U.S. Hiring Survey, 63 percent of businesses planned to add new permanent positions in the first half of 2025.

“Given these results, companies are clearly optimistic about their hiring outlook for 2025,” Dawn Fay, operational president of Robert Half, said in a statement. “To succeed in a competitive job market, employers must adopt proactive and strategic recruiting strategies to help them stand out and attract top talent.”

On the terminations side of the equation, U.S. employers announced 761,358 job cuts in 2024, up 5.5 percent from the previous year, according to global recruitment firm Challenger, Gray, and Christmas. Except for 2020, it was the highest total since 2009.

Employment expectations among job hunters have been mixed in early 2025.

A survey by Express Employment Professionals suggested that 33 percent of job seekers expect a decrease in employment opportunities in their desired fields. Twenty-eight percent anticipate an increase, and 38 percent believe there will be the same in the year ahead.
“Navigating the job market in 2025 requires resilience and adaptability,” Bill Stoller, CEO of Express Employment International, said in a statement. “As job seekers face a dynamic landscape, those who remain proactive and open to continuous learning will find opportunities even in uncertain times.”

All Eyes on January Jobs Data

The January jobs report will give the United States a glimpse of the labor market’s health later this week.

The consensus forecast suggests 170,000 new jobs last month, with the unemployment rate unchanged at 4.1 percent.

Southern California wildfires may affect employment data like the October 2024 hurricanes and strikes did, said Mark Hamrick, senior economic analyst at Bankrate.

“The January employment report is likely to show a softer hiring picture than in December, given the possible impacts of devastating wildfires in Los Angeles,” Hamrick said in a statement to The Epoch Times.

“Given these unusual circumstances, there’s a heightened chance of a surprise in the January jobs data.”

Federal Reserve officials have recently shifted their focus from the maximum employment side of its dual mandate to price stability. In September 2024, the U.S. central bank cut interest rates by 50 basis points, the first reduction to the benchmark federal funds rate since the onset of the coronavirus pandemic. The monetary authorities followed through on two more quarter-point rate cuts. However, due to the revival of inflationary pressures, policymakers have signaled upside inflation risks, forcing the institution to hit the pause button on its easing cycle.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell told reporters at last month’s post-meeting press conference that the labor market is now “at a sustainable level.”

“It’s not overheated anymore. We don’t think we need it to cool off anymore. We do watch it extremely carefully,” Powell said. “The labor market does seem to be pretty stable and broadly in balance.”

The Federal Reserve projects the median unemployment rate in 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 4.3 percent.

Andrew Moran
Andrew Moran
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Andrew Moran has been writing about business, economics, and finance for more than a decade. He is the author of "The War on Cash."