Uber and Lyft Report Record Rides, Stocks Move in Opposite Directions

Uber and Lyft Report Record Rides, Stocks Move in Opposite Directions
A sign marks a rendezvous location for Lyft and Uber users at San Diego State University in San Diego, Calif., on May 13, 2020. Mike Blake/Reuters, File Photo
Panos Mourdoukoutas
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News Analysis

Uber Technologies and Lyft ridership shifted to a higher year in 2024, but Uber seems to be winning the race on Wall Street, as its shares have gained more than Lyft’s.

Last week, Uber reported an 18 percent year-over-year jump in gross bookings in the fourth quarter of 2024, to $44.2 billion, led by strong demand for its mobility and delivery services. In addition, trips during the quarter rose at an annual rate of 18 percent, to 3.1 billion, yielding $770 million in operating income.
This week, Lyft reported a 15 percent year-over-year jump in gross bookings in the same quarter, to $4.3 billion. In 2024, the company reached an all-time high of 44 million annual riders, producing $5.8 billion in revenues and $22.8 million in net income.

Management of the two companies heralded the gains made in ridership bookings and trips that helped boost financial performance.

“Uber ended 2024 with our strongest quarter ever, as growth accelerated across MAPCs, trips, and gross bookings,” said Dara Khosrowshahi, Uber’s CEO.

“Our performance has been powered by rapid innovation and execution across multiple priorities, including the massive opportunity presented by autonomous vehicles. We enter 2025 with clear momentum and will continue to be relentless against our long-term strategy.”

“We achieved record gross bookings, significant margin expansion, our first full year of GAAP profitability, and record cash flow generation,” said Lyft’s chief financial officer, Erin Brewer.

“We surpassed every target we provided at investor day, and the best part is that 2024 was only the beginning of our multi-year plan.”

However, their shares moved in opposite directions on Wall Street following the release of the financial results. Uber’s shares have gained nearly 20 percent since Feb. 5, while Lyft’s shares have dropped nearly 8 percent.

Uber’s shares have fared better than Lyft’s over a more extended, five-year period, with a gain of 92 percent compared to Lyft’s 72 percent loss.

Uber and Lyft are in the right market at the right time. The market is ride-hailing, which has been changing riders’ lives worldwide. The two young companies’ apps and network of drivers make riding around cities and suburbs easy, convenient, and efficient. As technology improves and riders become more comfortable with their services, the time is now for the two companies to begin reaching the mass market of riders and improving their financials.

“Uber and Lyft’s earnings make one clear: People still rely on these services daily,” Nick Spivak, chief marketing officer of IT Monks, told The Epoch Times via email.

“They’re not just transportation companies anymore. They’re logistics giants that have figured out how to make money from every part of the experience. It’s not just about fares. It’s about subscriptions, premium rides, partnerships, and even ads inside the app.”

However, both companies had a bumpy ride on Wall Street in the early days, as they failed to capture value for their stockholders due to the lack of pricing power.

While in theory, the market for the two rideshare apps could work as a duopoly, in practice, it works as perfect competition.

That’s a market where sellers sell homogeneous products, and consumers have perfect information on the quality and price of services, pitting one seller against another—Uber against Lyft.

As a result, neither company managed to earn returns that matched the cost of capital.

That changed this year for Uber Technologies, which is beginning to generate value for its capital holders. According to Gurufocus.com, Uber has a current return on invested capital (ROIC) of 19.7 percent and a weighted average cost of capital (WACC) of 13.03 percent.
However, Lyft’s current ROIC is negative 2.6 percent and has a WACC of 15.72 percent, meaning that the company destroys value for capital holders as they grow.

The two companies have launched several initiatives to limit their competition. They have forged partnerships with local taxi drivers and introduced loyalty programs that discourage riders from switching between apps. Uber, with its scale advantage, has taken the lead.

Meanwhile, Uber’s leadership and subsequent gains on Wall Street helped the company join the benchmark S&P 500 Index and the Dow Jones Industrial Average, gaining much visibility in the investment community, as Lyft remained in the shadows.

A recently announced 9 percent equity stake in Uber by activist investor Bill Ackman’s Pershing Square Capital aids the company’s visibility.

Still, Spivak sees both companies facing the challenge of balancing cost and value.

“Riders want cheap fares, drivers want fair pay, and investors want profits,” he said.

“Every time the company shifts in one direction, it risks upsetting one of these groups. They tweak pricing models constantly to keep things running in their favor, sometimes in ways that frustrate both riders and drivers.”

Panos Mourdoukoutas
Panos Mourdoukoutas
Author
Panos Mourdoukoutas is a professor of economics at Long Island University in New York City. He also teaches security analysis at Columbia University. He’s been published in professional journals and magazines, including Forbes, Investopedia, Barron's, IBT, and Journal of Financial Research. He’s also the author of many books, including “Business Strategy in a Semiglobal Economy” and “China's Challenge.”