Restoration Hardware’s Sales Surge, but Shares Plunge Nearly 40 Percent

The luxury home furnishing retailer faces multiple headwinds.
Restoration Hardware’s Sales Surge, but Shares Plunge Nearly 40 Percent
A view of the RH Modern Gallery ribbon-cutting ceremony and grand opening in Los Angeles on Nov. 6, 2015. Rachel Murray/Getty Images for RH
Panos Mourdoukoutas
Updated:
News Analysis

Luxury home furnishing retailer Restoration Hardware (RH) reported higher sales for the fourth quarter of 2024, driven by its product portfolio transformation, platform expansion, and premium pricing. However, the company’s shares sold off on Wall Street on April 3, along with the broader market, as it faces several headwinds ahead: weak home sales, a depressed consumer sentiment, growing competition, and rising costs due to tariffs.

In a letter to stockholders sent on April 2 by chairman and CEO Gary Friedman, the company said that net sales in the quarter ended on Feb. 1 rose by 18 percent, while operating income was up 25 percent.

On a comparable 52-week basis, net revenues climbed by 6.8 percent from the previous year, with total demand up 9 percent and RH brand demand up 12 percent.

As of 3:24 p.m. ET on April 3, Restoration Hardware’s shares were down 39.64 percent.

Friedman attributed the company’s strong product demand to its narrow focus and long-term business view of turning houses into homes.

“Elevating and expanding our platform by creating the most desired products presented in the most inspiring spaces in the world, with bespoke interior design services and beautiful restaurants that generate energy, engagement, and tremendous awareness of the RH brand, while also serving as a profitable customer acquisition vehicle,” he said.

“Our intentions and attention to detail are reflected in everything we do, and we turn into a home in every house.”

Over its four-and-a-half-decade history, RH has engaged in the “creative destruction” of its organization and product portfolio, evolving from small stores with a narrow portfolio of products to large luxury galleries featuring a genuine luxury lifestyle brand alongside the world’s famous brands.

“While RH is indeed opening grandiose stores, which they refer to as Galleries, they are also shuttering legacy locations that no longer reflect the brand ethos of the company,” said a report by Bristlemoon Capital.

“As Friedman puts it, RH is ‘climbing the luxury mountain,’ taking what was once a destitute retailer and attempting to transform it into a true luxury lifestyle brand. A quick comparison of the original Restoration Hardware concept storefronts with the new RH Galleries makes the magnitude of the transformation apparent.”

Cathy Black, an adjunct professor of management at Long Island University, provided further insight into some of the advantages of RH’s business model transformation.

“Going against traditional home furnishing outlets, RH does not engage in influencer or social media marketing campaigns,” she told The Epoch Times via email.

“RH, which considers itself a ‘luxury’ brand, has transitioned to a ’membership-based‘ model. Their focus is on the following items: Membership Model (via its ’Grey Card'); Large-Format Stores (with restaurants in-store); Curated Product Assortment (partnering with artisans for a unique experience for their customers); Emphasis on Lifestyles (home & travel); Digital Presence using a portal; Focus on Interior Design; Expansion into New Industries (hospitality; member use of RH’s mega-yacht and private jets and lodging at a British country estate.”

However, the company’s business model faces several challenges, one of which is a weak housing market, with existing home sales hovering around 4 million in 2024, in a country with a population of 340 million.

Another challenge is depressed consumer sentiment, as evidenced by several consumer surveys, including a couple last week from The Conference Board and the University of Michigan. These surveys point to lower consumer spending ahead, which could hit complex companies that sell discretionary items like luxury furniture.

A third challenge is growing competition. The barriers to entry in the furniture industry are relatively low, making it hard for the company to maintain its pricing power.

A fourth factor is the prospect of rising tariffs, which could hurt industries that manufacture many of their products overseas.

“Restoration Hardware (RH) has no doubt achieved a strong reputation for quality design and craftsmanship,” Patrizia Porrini, a professor of management at Long Island University, told The Epoch Times.

“However, its reliance on manufacturing, largely overseas, poses risks and inevitable turbulence due to Washington’s current policies. While RH’s focus on the luxury furniture segment may provide some insulation against economic pressures, premium pricing and timeless quality may reduce opportunities for it to benefit from repeat purchases.”

While optimistic for the luxury furnishing industry over the long term, Porrini sees plenty of turbulence in the short term that may put pressure on its margins, stemming from a weakened housing market and competitive pressure from low-cost, trendy alternatives.

“Luxury brand or not, these are rough waters,” she said. “Will expected increases in disposable income to be a stronger driver in the luxury segment than tariff effects? Or will economic pressures from higher prices shift consumer preferences toward value-oriented products? RH must strengthen its market share and continue bolstering its design services—the non-manufacturing side of its offerings.”

Black is skeptical about RH’s prospects.

“Time will tell if RH will be successful with their current plans or if they might spin off another company to service most U.S. homeowners,” she said.

Panos Mourdoukoutas
Panos Mourdoukoutas
Author
Panos Mourdoukoutas is a professor of economics at Long Island University in New York City. He also teaches security analysis at Columbia University. He’s been published in professional journals and magazines, including Forbes, Investopedia, Barron's, IBT, and Journal of Financial Research. He’s also the author of many books, including “Business Strategy in a Semiglobal Economy” and “China's Challenge.”