Oil Prices Fluctuate in the Face of Supply and Demand Concerns

Oil Prices Fluctuate in the Face of Supply and Demand Concerns
Active pumpjacks from oil wells are pictured at the Inglewood Oil Field, the largest urban oil field in the United States, from the Baldwin Hills Scenic, Overlook in Culver City, Calif., on March 10, 2022. Bing Guan/Reuters
Reuters
Updated:

LONDON—Oil prices dipped but were trading in and out of positive territory on Thursday as investors weighed up tightening Russian supplies and the prospect of dwindling fuel demand in China.

Brent crude futures were down 63 cents, or 0.6 percent, at $104.69 a barrel by 1129 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude lost 49 cents, or 0.5 percent, to $101.53.

Both contracts had gained 30 cents on Wednesday on concerns over tight global oil supplies and another drawdown in U.S. distillate and gasoline stocks. On Thursday the contracts traded in range of about $3 a barrel.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration said that crude stocks rose by only 692,000 barrels last week, short of expectations, but distillate inventories including diesel and jet fuel fell to their lowest since May 2008.

Concern over slowing demand weighed on market sentiment, however.

“Fears of spluttering economic growth have sent the dollar to highs not seen since March 2020, equity markets are tepid at best, Chinese restrictions have not been erased from the back of investors’ minds and these have capped gains in crude oil,” said PVM Oil analyst Tamas Varga.

In China, Beijing closed some public spaces and stepped up COVID-19 checks at others on Thursday as most of the city’s 22 million residents embarked on more mass testing in an effort to avert a Shanghai-like lockdown. The most recent lockdown has disrupted factories and supply chains, raising fears over the country’s economic growth.

A slowdown in global growth owing to higher commodity prices and an escalation in the Russia-Ukraine conflict could further exacerbate oil demand fears.

The global economy will expand more slowly than predicted three months ago, according to Reuters polls of more than 500 economists.

Median forecasts for global growth collected in this month’s Reuters polls on more than 45 economies were chopped to 3.5 percent this year and 3.4 percent for 2023, down from 4.3 percent and 3.6 percent respectively in a January poll.

The International Monetary Fund forecasts 3.6 percent growth in both years.

By Ahmad Ghaddar