Lululemon’s International Sales Rise as US Growth Slows Amid Consumer Uncertainty, Competition

Lululemon’s International Sales Rise as US Growth Slows Amid Consumer Uncertainty, Competition
The Lululemon logo on a Lululemon store in Pittsburgh, Pa., on June 3, 2024. Gene J. Puskar/AP Photo
Panos Mourdoukoutas
Updated:
0:00
Strong international sales helped athletic apparel maker Lululemon deliver another solid quarter, making up for persistent weakness in the U.S. market amid growing economic uncertainty and competition. Meanwhile, the company gave conservative sales guidance for the new fiscal year, disappointing Wall Street, which sent its shares sharply lower during morning trading on March 28.
On March 27, the Vancouver-based maker of technical athletic apparel, footwear, and accessories for yoga, running, training, and other activities reported solid top- and bottom-line financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2024 that ended on Feb. 2, beating analysts’ estimates.

Net sales for the quarter came in at $3.6 billion, up by 13 percent from the previous year, while gross profit rose by 15 percent to $2.2 billion, with gross margin up 100 basis points to 60.4 percent.

Story continues below advertisement

Sales for the fiscal year rose by 10 percent, to $10.6 billion, boosted by 56 net new company-operated store openings, bringing the total to 767.

Comparable fourth-quarter sales, which exclude net revenue from the 53rd week of 2024, rose by 3 percent.

Most of the sales gains came from overseas markets, with strong overall and comparable sales.

However, sales in U.S. markets lagged, with comparable sales flat for the fourth quarter and slightly down for the entire year.

Management expects net revenue of from $11.15 billion to $11.30 billion for fiscal year 2025.

Story continues below advertisement

That represents a deceleration of 5 percent to 7 percent or 7 percent to 8 percent from the 10 percent growth in fiscal year 2024.

Lululemon joins a growing chorus of retailers and merchandisers reporting weak U.S. sales or giving downbeat guidance for 2025.

Last week, Nike, for example, reported a sales decline across all channels in the most recent quarter, following the release of disappointing outlooks from larger retail chains, including Dick’s Sporting Goods, Target, and Walmart during preceding weeks.
That’s because of a cloudy outlook for U.S. households, as portrayed in consumer surveys, arising from elevated inflation, growing concerns over the state of the labor market, and mounting debt. These factors have fed into consumer uncertainty, driving consumers to bargain stores.
Story continues below advertisement

Lululemon CEO Calvin McDonald credited the company’s solid sales performance to innovation and effective execution.

“Our fourth-quarter results exceeded our expectations as we continued to introduce more newness and innovation into our product assortment,” he said.

“Our performance demonstrates the ongoing strength and resilience of Lululemon and is a testament to the passion and dedication of our teams around the world. As we begin 2025, we remain focused on executing on our Power of Three ×2 growth plan and delivering an exciting pipeline of innovation and brand activations for our guests and communities.”

Launched in 2021, the Power of Three growth plan includes product innovation—introducing new product lines supporting yoga, running, and training; an office, travel, and commute category; and pursuing new opportunities, such as self-care. It calls for doubling the business to $12.5 billion by 2026 from a 2021 net revenue of $6.25 billion.

Story continues below advertisement

The Omni guest experiences supplement the Power of Three growth plan. These are intended to add to the buzz for the brand by offering an integrated guest experience across channels that fosters a healthy and mindful lifestyle for guests.

In addition, the company is focusing on market expansion, reaching out to fast-growing international markets such as China, the regions of Asia-Pacific; Europe, the Middle East, and Africa, and online markets in North America.

“Lululemon had a solid year in 2024, driven by successful international expansion, especially in China, and because of continued demand for its products,” Georgios Koimisis, an economics and finance associate professor at Manhattan University, told The Epoch Times via email.

“Even in a climate of global uncertainty, customers remained loyal to Lululemon, helping the brand to maintain steady growth.

Story continues below advertisement

“Improved profitability can also be attributed to Lululemon’s focus on product innovation and good customer service.”

Fei Chen, founder and CEO of Intellectia.AI, praised the company’s solid financial and innovative drive.

“Groundbreaking new-product releases (such as the Glow Up Tight) and a 10 percent projected expansion of square footage suggest that Lululemon is going all-in on growth, even in a time of bigger retail caution,” he told The Epoch Times.

Wall Street didn’t focus on Lululemon’s improved profitability and product innovation. Instead, it fixated on the conservative guidance for the new fiscal year, sending its shares sharply lower in early morning trade on March 28.

Story continues below advertisement
Lululemon’s shares were down by 23.9 percent year to date, compared with a 4.85 percent decline for the benchmark S&P 500 Index. The stock has underperformed the popular index over the past five years.

Looking ahead, Koimisis is concerned about several factors, including the company’s slow sales growth, which may indicate increased competition or even potential market saturation.

“Moreover, heavy reliance on international markets may pose risks if geopolitical conditions change,” he said.

“Rising costs might create pressure on profit margins in the future.”

Panos Mourdoukoutas
Panos Mourdoukoutas
Author
Panos Mourdoukoutas is a professor of economics at Long Island University in New York City. He also teaches security analysis at Columbia University. He’s been published in professional journals and magazines, including Forbes, Investopedia, Barron's, IBT, and Journal of Financial Research. He’s also the author of many books, including “Business Strategy in a Semiglobal Economy” and “China's Challenge.”