WalletHub, a personal finance website, estimates that U.S. consumers could see between $4.87 billion and $6.4 billion in additional credit card interest. This doesn’t count the other increases so far this year.
The publication’s new Fed Rate Hike Survey, which gauged consumer sentiment on the subject, also found that 60 percent of respondents don’t think the Fed is doing a good job. A total of 63 percent of Americans report that their wallets have been affected by the 1.5 percent boost in rates this year.
Moreover, 28 percent of individuals are more perturbed about the institution raising rates this month compared to June. More than half (56 percent) of survey participants think the central bank’s tightening has made them worry more about layoffs and job security.
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will hold its next two-day policy meeting on July 26 and July 27. Despite the dramatic jump in the number of investors penciling in a 100-basis-point rate hike following the red-hot June consumer price index (CPI), market expectations have eased in recent trading sessions.
“People who are watching the cost of their debt increase aren’t pleased for obvious reasons, and those worried about inflation are not seeing anything change, either,” Delaney Simchuk, WalletHub analyst, said in the report. ”People are becoming increasingly frustrated with the Fed. Public sentiment is unlikely to sway in the favor of the Fed unless inflation is tamed without too much collateral damage.”
Total household debt and credit growth have climbed at remarkable levels so far this year.
Credit card debt tumbled by $15 billion in the January-to-March period, but it’s still $71 billion higher year-over-year.
Mortgage balances ballooned by $250 billion to $11.18 trillion, while auto loan debt expanded by $11 billion. Student loan balances climbed by $14 billion to $1.59 trillion. Nonhousing balances also increased by $17 billion, driven by a $7 billion boost in consumer finance loans and retail cards.
‘Straining Household Budgets’
The Fed Bank of New York’s Survey of Consumer Expectations shows that 57 percent of Americans say it will be harder to obtain credit one year from now. The mean probability of not being able to make minimum debt payments over the next three months edged up to 11.3 percent.“High inflation is straining household budgets, with credit card debt marching higher and households drawing down their savings. More than a third of U.S. households have less emergency savings than one year ago,” Greg McBride, chief financial analyst at Bankrate.com, told The Epoch Times.
U.S. consumer sentiment remains rather low as well.
Most consumers feel less comfortable purchasing big-ticket items and other household products. A majority of Americans also think inflation, monthly bills, taxes, and mortgage rates will rise.
Similar numbers were reported in the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, which climbed to a better-than-expected 51.1 in July, up from an all-time low of 50 in June. The current economic conditions subindex also surged to 57.1, but the expectations measurement fell to a 42-year low of 47.3.
Despite the upward trend in consumer debt levels, Fitch Ratings isn’t concerned.
“Credit performance for the largest credit card issuers has been exceptionally strong over the past two years, with chargeoffs for most issuers at multidecade lows and tracking at roughly half of 2019 levels,” Fitch wrote.
Consumers Adapt
Inflation is expected to remain elevated for longer, and borrowing costs are rising. How can consumers acclimate to this environment?“Inflation has been so pervasive and has been most pronounced on necessities, that there is nowhere to hide,” McBride said. “Economize as much as possible by utilizing sale ads, coupons, loyalty program discounts, and the stash of gift cards you have sitting in a drawer. Anything to stretch your dollars a bit further.”