Adobe Reports Record Revenue but Its Stock Takes a Tumble

The company’s stock fell nearly 14 percent on March 13. Over the past five years, the stock has lagged far behind the S&P 500 Index.
Adobe Reports Record Revenue but Its Stock Takes a Tumble
The Adobe logo at Adobe Systems headquarters in San Jose, Calif., on Jan. 15, 2010. Justin Sullivan/Getty Images
Panos Mourdoukoutas
Updated:
0:00

Adobe delivered record sales and operating cash flow for the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, driven by a customer-focused innovative strategy. However, its outlook failed to excite Wall Street, leading to a sell-off in its shares on March 13.

On March 12, the maker of popular software products such as Photoshop, Illustrator, Acrobat, Premiere Pro, and After Effects reported first-quarter results that beat market expectations. Diluted earnings came in at $4.14 per share on a record $5.71 billion in revenue, up 10 percent from a year earlier.

According to Dan Durn, executive vice president and CFO of Adobe, AI-powered products and features—both standalone and as add-ons to existing products—generated $125 million in annualized recurring revenue, helping the company achieve record sales in the first fiscal quarter. “Our continued innovation and diversified go-to-market strategy drove a record Q1,” he said.

Annualized recurring revenue refers to the predictable revenue a company expects to generate over the course of a year, based on its current customer contracts or subscriptions.

Shantanu Narayen, chair and CEO of Adobe, sees this strategy as positioning the company for further growth for the rest of the year and meeting Wall Street’s targets.

“Adobe’s success over the next decade will be driven by customer-focused innovation and new offerings for creators, marketing professionals, business professionals and consumers,” he said. “Adobe is well-positioned to capitalize on the acceleration of the creative economy driven by AI and we are reaffirming our FY2025 financial targets.”

For the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, Adobe expects total revenue to be between $5.77 billion and $5.82 billion, in line with the consensus estimate of $5.79 billion, according to Chicago-based investment research firm Zacks.

However, the company’s stock closed down 13.85 on March 13. Over the past five years, its stock has risen by 12.62 percent, underperforming the S&P 500 Index, which has gained 104 percent.

Adobe management’s guidance, its lag in monetizing AI technologies, and the increasing competition that the company faces frustrated investors, according to Jamie Meyers, an analyst at Laffer Tengler Investments.

“Adobe (ADBE) delivered an in-line 4Q but issued frustrating guidance, as management continued to evade questions about slowing growth on the call,” he told The Epoch Times via email. “The company has been slow to monetize AI technologies, and increasing competition in the low-end of the market gives pause for concern.”

Meyers said that “sentiment remains tethered to AI monetization, especially after hearing of ’slowing' growth at hyperscalers.”

Sidharth Ramsinghaney, director of strategy and operations at cloud communications company Twilio, sees Adobe’s customer-centric strategy unlocking tremendous value.

“Their dual focus on ‘Business Professionals and Consumers’ and ’Creative and Marketing Professionals’ enables precision in product development while maintaining powerful cross-selling opportunities across the portfolio,” he told The Epoch Times via email.

“This strategic shift is already producing results, with Business Professionals and Consumers Group subscription revenue growing 15 percent year-over-year to $1.53 billion in Q1.”

Ramsinghaney sees the $125 million in revenue contributed by AI-powered products and features in the first quarter as a demonstration of Adobe’s clear path to monetizing its generative AI investments. “This addresses a key question for investors across the tech sector and shows Adobe’s leadership in transforming AI capabilities into revenue,” he said.

Adobe’s successful business strategy is demonstrated by the high return on invested capital, a measure of how effectively the company allocates capital to different products. According to estimates by Gurufocus.com, Adobe’s current return on invested capital is 23.18 percent, nearly double the weighted average cost of capital of 13.38 percent, meaning the company generates exceptional market returns for capital holders as it grows.

Ramsinghaney believes that Adobe’s comprehensive content creation-to-activation strategy with GenStudio provides a unified workflow that competitors cannot match.

“This integration of creative tools and marketing automation creates significant barriers to entry while solving content supply-chain bottlenecks,” he added. “The GenStudio solution has now surpassed $1 billion in [annual recurring revenue], validating its market acceptance.”

Panos Mourdoukoutas
Panos Mourdoukoutas
Author
Panos Mourdoukoutas is a professor of economics at Long Island University in New York City. He also teaches security analysis at Columbia University. He’s been published in professional journals and magazines, including Forbes, Investopedia, Barron's, IBT, and Journal of Financial Research. He’s also the author of many books, including “Business Strategy in a Semiglobal Economy” and “China's Challenge.”