Yet such language is smoke and mirrors, analysts say, and belies concrete actions by the regime to grow its military and economic might around the world.
Dismantle and Rebuild
Despite talk of win-win scenarios abroad, Chinese leader Xi Jinping delivers more grim depictions of his vision for the future when at home, away from the glare of the international limelight. Within the internal proceedings of the regime, he issues opaque calls for the CCP to reform global governance and lead the international order.In it, the CCP championed its own form of Maoist communism, referred to as “socialism with Chinese characteristics,” as a “new model for human advancement.”
It further demanded that Marxist ideology be proselytized across the world as the sole political philosophy “not only capable of dismantling the old world, but also of building a new one.”
“We must use Marxist positions, viewpoints, and methods to observe, understand, and steer the trends of the times, and constantly deepen our understanding of the laws underlying governance by a communist party, the building of socialism, and the development of human society,” the communique reads.
Indeed, the idea that communist China is a real adversary, much less one aimed to dethrone and usurp America’s role in global leadership seemed a foreign concept to many just two years ago.
“[Xi] firmly believes that China, before the year ’30, ’35, is going to own America because autocracies can make quick decisions,” Biden said.
That concerted effort to dismantle U.S. influence abroad, and own it, is the platform the CCP has coalesced around. In addition, Beijing is quickly building the military necessary to seize and hold that objective by force.
A Modern Military
The regime’s military, the People’s Liberation Army (PLA), is undergoing an unprecedented program of growth and modernization in order to pursue the Party’s ambition for global dominance.The PLA must “put all minds and energy on preparing for war,” Xi said.
Such rhetoric might come across as mere machismo were it not for the fact that it was matched by equally aggressive strategic development.
“The average American is generally unaware of the military and diplomatic power that the PRC has achieved over the last two decades,” said James Fanell, a fellow at the Geneva Center for Security Policy and former director of intelligence and information operations for the U.S. Pacific Fleet.
“Likewise, the average American is unaware of the PLA’s unprecedented military modernization program and how today the PLA overmatches the U.S. military in naval, air, and rocket force power.”
The CCP’s test of a hypersonic weapon in July, for example, reportedly tried out an orbital bombardment system that could be capable of getting nuclear warheads around the U.S. early warning and missile defense systems, which were designed to protect against traditional ballistic weaponry.
Fanell believed that the continued advancement of the CCP’s impressive modernization program, and the equally impressive ignorance of said program in the West, was exacerbated by so-called China hands—people in academic institutions, think tanks, and government office who advance pro-China agendas or otherwise give cover to the CCP’s political maneuvering.
“Just this week, a retired four-star admiral had the audacity to write that, while the PLAN was the largest navy in the world, they were of a ‘far lower quality,’” Fanell said, referring to the PLA Navy.
“That simply is false. I have been aboard PLAN warships several times over the course of the past 20 years, and I can tell you that PLAN warships and sailors are indeed not of a ‘far lower quality.’”
“The impact from this statement and many, many others like it over the past 20 years has been to numb the American body politic from understanding the lethal threat that the PRC and PLA represent,” Fanell said.
To that end, it’s necessary to understand that the Chinese regime fashioned much of its current force structure with the sole purpose of ejecting the United States from the Indo-Pacific.
“The PLAN has been designed and built over the past 20 years to defeat the U.S. Navy in a war at sea, while the U.S. Department of Defense has been obsessed with conducting counter-terrorism operations in the Middle East,” Fanell said.
“It must be stated that when it comes to the military domain, the U.S. is greatly behind the PLA, especially when it comes to war at sea. The PLAN is not only the largest navy on the planet today, but it has more anti-ship ballistic and cruise missiles than any other navy.”
“Taiwan is the centerpiece of the CCP’s goal of displacing the United States’ global prominence and influence,” Fanell said.
“The conquest of Taiwan is the centerpiece of the strategy for driving the U.S. out of the Indo-Pacific.”
All Roads Lead to Taiwan
Taiwan is vital to Xi’s vision for the future of a global communist China. The CCP initiated record numbers of incursions into the Taiwanese air defense identification zone throughout 2021 in an effort to rattle Taiwan’s military and justify its claims that the island is part of its territory.Part of the reason for this desperation in seizing Taiwan is ideological. Another, strategic.
“There’s no doubt the CCP sees Taiwan’s democratic model as a threat to its version of Marxism-Leninism,” said Keith Krach, former U.S. undersecretary of state.
“The people of Taiwan share the same culture, customs, and language as their Chinese neighbors. They are a living, breathing proof that Chinese people don’t have to subjugate their individual freedom and human rights to the will of a monstrous communist state in order to be successful.”
Taiwan’s democratic government goes against everything the CCP’s Sixth Plenum Communique stood for. Its continued existence demonstrates the falsity of the claim that only socialism with Chinese characteristics is capable of addressing the unique historical realities of the Chinese state.
National rejuvenation, so central to the CCP’s grand strategy, is impossible without unification.
Such a situation has rendered Xi desperate for a swift absorption of Taiwan by the mainland, according to Krach. And that desperation makes him dangerous.
“General Secretary Xi sees the annexation of Taiwan as a crowning jewel in his legacy,” Krach said.
“That certainly makes the China–Taiwan tensions more combustible, especially since he’s feeling the heat internally due to the energy crisis and his mishandling of the economy.”
At the strategic level, the occupation of Taiwan would provide the CCP with the ability to project power beyond the so-called second island chain and threaten U.S. military bases and allied forces. This would effectively put all U.S. and allied forces in the region at risk from missile attacks.
Taiwan is part of the first island chain, a branch of major archipelagos that spreads from Indonesia past the Philippines and through Japan. Maintaining a presence through the first chain is necessary to project military power through the second, which is farther into the Pacific.
The CCP has long been aware of that strategic need for control of Taiwan.
Taiwan is thus necessary to the CCP’s struggle for global dominance, as both the ideological coherence of Chinese communism and the nation’s military capacity to conduct war with the United States hinge upon it.
Krach said: “After biding its time for decades, playing the victim, eliciting preferential treatment from the free world, General Secretary Xi decided it’s time for China to seize the dominant role on the world stage.
“The CCP also understands Taiwan’s strategic role as a trusted, high-tech powerhouse, especially as the world’s premier semiconductor manufacturer,” Krach said in reference to the fact that Taiwan is responsible for the production of some 63 percent of the world’s semiconductors, which are vital to technologies ranging from pickup trucks to ballistic missiles—a capability coveted by Beijing.
Hegemony
The CCP’s grand strategy comes down to hegemony. Its ambition is to displace and replace the United States, and Xi has directed the military to strengthen its position toward this end.“They are moving forward with laws that have global extraterritorial effect, tied to aggressive extradition efforts, along with increasing influence, trending towards control, of UN and other international institutions and multinational corporations.”
To that end, the CCP is pursuing a whole-of-nation strategy, leveraging its military, economy, and diplomatic apparatus against the United States.
That presents a danger to all Americans, according to Corr, as the CCP is almost certainly willing to go further in pursuing destructive conflict than the United States is willing to.
“The CCP is more willing to risk war than we are, which it can use as a form of brinkmanship to force us into retreat,” Corr said. “War in the nuclear age against a nuclear-armed enemy is almost unthinkable for citizens in democracies, which from Beijing’s perspective is a weakness to be exploited.”
The CCP’s diplomatic apparatus says it wants peace and win-win scenarios. What it leaves out, however, is exactly what Xi holds to be necessary for the peace to begin.
It’s victory, not comradery, that the CCP seeks now.