Yen Weakened Against Dollar as Investors Awaited US Inflation Data

Yen Weakened Against Dollar as Investors Awaited US Inflation Data
Examples of Japanese yen banknotes are displayed at a factory of the National Printing Bureau producing Bank of Japan notes at a media event about a new series of banknotes scheduled to be introduced in 2024, in Tokyo, Japan, on Nov. 21, 2022. Kim Kyung-Hoon/Reuters
Reuters
Updated:

NEW YORK—The Japanese yen weakened against the dollar for a second day on Monday, giving back most of a rally last week on expectations of less dovish monetary policy, and as investors awaited U.S. inflation data and three major central bank meetings.

The Japanese currency surged on Thursday after Bank of Japan (BOJ) governor Kazuo Ueda said the central bank had several options on which interest rates to target once it pulls short-term borrowing costs out of negative territory, and had on the same day met with Prime Minister Fumio Kishida.

The dollar rose as high as 146.50 yen and was last at 146.21 yen, up 0.88 percent on the day. The yen has given up almost all of its rally on Thursday, when it reached 141.6 yen against the dollar.

The dollar rose 0.14 percent against a basket of currencies to 104.09.

The euro was last down 0.03 percent at $1.0757, close to Friday’s 24-day low of $1.0724. Sterling gained 0.19 percent to $1.2571, after hitting a 15-day low of $1.2504 on Friday.

Traders will watch U.S. consumer price inflation data on Tuesday for clues on the likely path of Federal Reserve policy. It is expected to show that headline inflation was unchanged in November, for an annual increase of 3.1 percent, down from 3.2 percent in October.

The dollar jumped on Friday after jobs growth in November beat economists’, forecasts, pushing back expectations for the first Fed rate cut to May, from March.

Central banks will then take the markets’ focus, with Fed officials due to give their updated economic and interest rate projections at the conclusion of the U.S. central bank’s two-day meeting on Wednesday.

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is also likely to reduce expectations of rate cuts being likely in the first half of the year.

“His speeches, in particular since the last cycle, have focused on that the remaining risk is going to be to the upside—so he’s still biased towards more tightening rather than this loosening that markets are starting to expect,” said Helen Given, FX trader, at Monex USA in Washington.

The European Central Bank and the Bank of England will also set rates on Thursday.

Meanwhile, China’s yuan fell to a three-week low after data showed deflation in the country worsened in November.

Data over the weekend showed China’s consumer prices fell at the fastest rate in three years in November while factory-gate deflation deepened, indicating increasing deflationary pressure as weak domestic demand casts doubt over the country’s economic recovery.

The yuan weakened to a three-week low in both the onshore and offshore markets on Monday, with the former last at 7.1773 per dollar. The Australian dollar, often used as a liquid proxy for the yuan, fell 0.21 percent to $0.6565.