A former Obama administration adviser said on Thursday that soaring inflation is in part due to continued public spending of large amounts of COVID-19 stimulus, stating that the Biden administration is not entirely to blame.
“I think we’re going to have higher rates for the foreseeable future, but the economy itself is actually doing okay,” Rattner said, while noting that the Federal Reserve’s moves to raise interest rates by 75 basis points are “extremely large by Fed standards.”
The central bank initiated another 75 basis-point hike on Nov. 2 to a target range of 3.75–4.00 percent, marking the sixth rate increase this year and the fourth consecutive 75-point increase in 2022.
Rattner said that inflation has skyrocketed over the past year and that the “Fed essentially did nothing for almost a year,” meaning the central bank is now having to “play catch-up” while inflation remains stubborn.
Congress ‘Saved the President From Himself’
“We poured roughly $2.5 trillion into Americans’ pockets during the pandemic, for lots of good reasons, including money they didn’t spend. We’ve been gradually working that off. But it’s still well over $1.5 trillion, almost $2 trillion. And so consumers are still spending, even though their real incomes are going down,” said Rattner, who is chairman and CEO of the investment management firm Willett Advisors LLC.“There are good things to be said about the economy that somehow get lost in the whole inflation figure,” he said, before noting that “the Biden administration’s first rescue plan was probably too much” and came at a time when the U.S. economy was “already on the path to recovery from COVID.”
“But it wasn’t what created 8 percent inflation. A lot of it was … the Fed put many more trillions into the economy than we did through the American Rescue Plan. And so, yeah, it’s not all on Biden,” Rattner said.
Elsewhere, Rattner said he believes that Congress had ultimately “saved the president from himself” by failing to pass the Build Back Better plan, which likely would have added to inflationary pressures.